Tracking AI existential risk. Auto-aggregated headlines. Human-curated analysis.
AGGREGATING 47 SOURCES · UPDATED LIVE

About pdoom100

What is p(doom)?

p(doom) is shorthand in the AI safety community for the probability that artificial intelligence leads to human extinction or an irreversible civilizational catastrophe. Estimates range from near-zero (optimists like Yann LeCun) to near-certain (pessimists like Eliezer Yudkowsky).

What is this site?

pdoom100.com is an automated AI existential risk news aggregator. It pulls headlines from 15+ sources including the Alignment Forum, LessWrong, MIRI, ArXiv, and major AI lab blogs. Articles are scored for relevance to AI safety, published as real Ghost posts, and organized by topic.

The site also features:

  • Live Doom Meter — A composite score drawn from prediction markets (Manifold Markets) and feed sentiment analysis, updated daily
  • P(doom) Scoreboard — Public estimates from prominent AI researchers and industry leaders
  • Essential Reading — Human-curated must-read articles on AI risk
  • Policy Timeline — Major events in AI governance and regulation
  • Weekly Digest — A curated summary of the week in AI safety

How does it work?

An automated pipeline runs hourly:

  1. RSS feeds from ~15 sources are fetched
  2. Articles are scored against ~40 weighted keywords related to AI safety and existential risk
  3. Relevant articles (score above threshold) are published as Ghost posts via the Admin API
  4. Duplicate detection prevents the same article from appearing twice
  5. High-scoring articles are auto-featured as Essential Reading

All content links back to original sources. This site aggregates and curates — it does not claim authorship of aggregated content.

Who built this?

pdoom100.com was built by Zac Boring as a project to make AI safety news more accessible and centralized. The site runs on Ghost CMS on a DigitalOcean droplet.

Disclaimer

This site tracks public discussions about AI risk. It does not endorse any particular p(doom) estimate. The doom meter is a composite of prediction market data and headline sentiment — it is not a scientific measure. Featured articles are highlighted for importance, not necessarily agreement.

The name “p(doom)=100” is tongue-in-cheek. We hope.