Bioanchors 2: Electric Bacilli
Published on February 24, 2026 1:07 AM GMTCrosspost from my blog. [Previously: "Views on when AGI comes and on strategy to reduce existential risk", "Do confident short timelines make sense?"] [Whenever discussing when AGI will come, it bears repeating: If anyone builds AGI, everyone dies; no one knows when AGI will be made, whether soon or late; a bunch of people and orgs are trying to make it; and they should stop and be stopped.] Arguments for fast AGI progress Many arguments about "when will