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How Hard a Problem is Alignment? (My Opinionated Answer)

Zac Boring March 11, 2026 1 min read
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TL;DR: Comparing person-years of effort, I argue that AI Safety seems harder than for steam engines, but probably less hard than the Apollo program or . I discuss why I suspect superalignment might not be super-hard. My has come down over the last half-decade, primarily because of properties of LLMs, and progress we’ve made in aligning them: I explain why certain previous concerns don’t apply to LLMs, and summarize what I see as key developments in Alignm

By RogerDearnaley

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