Is the Cat Out of the Bag?: Who knows how to make AGI?
Adapted from 2025-04-10 memo to AISII’ve previously made arguments like:Not long after it becomes possible for someone to make powerful artificial intelligence[1], it might become possible for practically anyone to make powerful AI.Compute gets exponentially cheaper by default.Knowledge proliferates (fast!) by default: AI techniques are typically simple and easy once discovered.What’s more, AGI-making know-how may be widespread already.Or, as Yudkowsky puts it[2],Moore’s Law of Mad Science: Ever
By Oliver Sourbut