Tracking AI existential risk. Source-backed context. Original reporting always linked.

MONITORING CORE AI-RISK FEEDS · UPDATED HOURLY

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Analysis

Recent evidence, sources and high-relevance stories in this PDOOM topic.

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Zac Boring 25 days ago Analysis

Minimal Vs Maximal superintelligence

via LessWrong AI [4] — I've seen lots of arguments here conflate lots of different types of superintelligence. Here I separate out two broad categories, which I'll term minimal and maximal superintelligences. This is an important distinction as they differ in terms of timelines,…

Zac Boring 25 days ago Analysis

Claude Opus 5.5: The System Card

via Substack Zvi [3] — Introducing the world’s most powerful model, at least by some measures like Artificial Analysis or any standard benchmark list, which is now Claude Opus 5.5.

Zac Boring 25 days ago Analysis

The First American Bill to Ban Superintelligent AI Is Here

via LessWrong AI [4] — Today, Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Representative Greg Casar (D-Texas) introduced the Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act in Congress: the first American bill to propose banning the development of superintelligent AI. ControlAI has spent years on…

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

Politics Gets Interested In Those Trying Not To Die

via Substack Zvi [3] — This was the month the world took notice that AI might kill everyone.

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

We’re not ready for the e/Acc × Longevity preference cascade

via LessWrong AI [10] — Anti-aging sentiment might go rapidly mainstream, in the same way AI Safety just did.Recently, the AI safety community has been enjoying a massive preference cascade that has rapidly moved AI x-risk concerns into mainstream political discourseWhy did this…

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

Alignment Midtraining Cracks Under Pressure

via LessWrong AI [5] — TL;DRWe stress-test alignment midtraining (AMT) across model and token budget scales. Our results suggest that midtraining cannot tackle the hard problems of AI alignment—namely distributional shift and reward underspecification in the presence of…

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

Monthly Roundup #46: September 2026

via Substack Zvi [3] — AI has taken over this blog.

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

Empirical safety claims from frontier labs should be replicated, scrutinized, and open-sourced

via LessWrong AI [10] — When frontier labs like Anthropic and OpenAI publish safety or alignment research, it is often entirely empirical, closed-source, and sparse on methodological details. While it is great that they publish these results, the status quo is that labs (or…

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

Better Call Sol Or Better Yet Claude or Astra

via Substack Zvi [3] — What should your AI lawyer do for you?

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

Please Give Them a Chance: On China, Rationalism, and AI Safety

via LessWrong AI [5] — When I finished HPMOR, I immediately knew it was the best novel I had read in more than a decade. I only wished I had found it sooner.When I started reading The Sequences, I discovered that the Chinese translation group had translated only the first…

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

The Anatomy of a Chinese AI Researcher

via LessWrong AI [5] — The Chinese AI researcher has read the Three Body Problem series of sci-fi novels since high school, and understand the concept of existential risk vaguely. He is fascinated by Ye Wenjie, the researcher that turned against humanity in that book, and…

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

Common mistakes in AI safety group organizing

via LessWrong AI [5] — Back in the day, I was a very active AI safety group organizer. I commonly notice people making the same mistakes across many clubs. I have written down a list of some of these mistakes hoping people will avoid them in the future:Reading groups often…

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

The AI Risk Network

via LessWrong AI [9] — Most conversations about AI risks seem like people are talking past each other. There’s a lot of strawmanning. This is largely because the issue is complex, and in order to make it manageable, the concepts get oversimplified. The most common example of…

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

Anthropic Looks At Some Of Its Alignment Problems

via Substack Zvi [3] — Anthropic has given us its assessment of four ‘recent cybersecurity incidents’ involving Claude that happened during cybersecurity evaluations, three of which were previously known.

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

You don't need a union to go on strike

via LessWrong AI [5] — I read Dear God, Please Do Not Resign In Protest and wanted to point out that leftists have a mature and relatively reliable set of strategies to address the problem of how to get a lot of people to stop working in protest at the same time.Then I did a…

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

The Preference Cascade Is Only Getting Started

via Substack Zvi [5] — We are in the midst of a preference cascade about existential risk from AI.

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

The Game is Set for a Targeted Memetic Attack on the AI Safety Community

via LessWrong AI [8] — While this is relevant to my work at MIRI, I have not checked these ideas with anyone else on the team and am posting this on my personal LW account. These views are my own[1]. And to be honest, I am writing this mostly to remind myself of my weakness.---I…

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

Superintelligence this Christmas

via LessWrong AI [4] — I think it is plausible a strong form of recursive self-improvement[1] is imminent or already underway, and that we may be on track for superintelligence by Christmas of this year if racing continues.This is substantially faster than any forecast,…

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

Grantmakers aren’t afraid to die

via LessWrong AI [9] — The AI Risk grantmakers do not act like they believe in imminent existential risk from AI The idea of "revealed preferences" is one of the most useful in economics; it allows us to cut through a great deal of metaphysical angst about what someone "really"…

Zac Boring a month ago Analysis

plzdontkillus Fellows Got ~2M AI Safety Views, Not 21M

via LessWrong AI [10] — SummaryI was a fellow at plzdontkillus, a month-long creator bootcamp at Lighthaven, partially funded by MIRI, where ~55 fellows posted one video per day. plzdontkillus.com originally claimed “21M+ AI risk views” with no breakdown. After I shared a draft…

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AI-risk positions

Historical statements with original sources. A qualitative position is not a numeric probability. Dates refer to the cited statement, not a current estimate. Reviewed September 10, 2026.

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