Industry
Microsoft’s new ‘superintelligence’ game plan is all about business
via The Verge AI [4] — Mustafa Suleyman has been preparing for his new job description for a long time. Suleyman is Microsoft's inaugural CEO of AI, but after the company underwent a large-scale restructuring in mid-March, he's handed off some duties and shifted focus to chasing…
The Download: AI health tools and the Pentagon’s Anthropic culture war
via MIT Technology Review [4] — This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology. There are more AI health tools than ever—but how well do they work? In the last few months alone, Microsoft,…
Agentic commerce runs on truth and context
via MIT Technology Review [4] — Imagine telling a digital agent, “Use my points and book a family trip to Italy. Keep it within budget, pick hotels we’ve liked before, and handle the details.” Instead of returning a list of links, the agent assembles an itinerary and executes…
The AI Hype Index: AI goes to war
via MIT Technology Review [4] — AI is at war. Anthropic and the Pentagon feuded over how to weaponize Anthropic’s AI model Claude; then OpenAI swept the Pentagon off its feet with an “opportunistic and sloppy” deal. Users quit ChatGPT in droves. People marched through London in…
Introducing the OpenAI Safety Bug Bounty program
via OpenAI Blog [7] — OpenAI launches a Safety Bug Bounty program to identify AI abuse and safety risks, including agentic vulnerabilities, prompt injection, and data exfiltration.
Arm’s first CPU ever will plug into Meta’s AI datacenters later this year
via The Verge AI [4] — After decades of only licensing its chip designs for others to use, UK-based Arm revealed the first chip it's producing on its own, and the first customer. Dubbed the Arm AGI CPU, it's another chip designed for inference, or running the cloud processing…
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says ‘I think we’ve achieved AGI’
via The Verge AI [8] — On a Monday episode of the Lex Fridman podcast, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang made a hot-button statement: "I think we've achieved AGI." AGI, or artificial general intelligence, is a vaguely defined term that has incited a lot of discussion by tech CEOs, tech…
The Download: animal welfare gets AGI-pilled, and the White House unveils its AI policy
via MIT Technology Review [4] — This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology. The Bay Area’s animal welfare movement wants to recruit AI In early February, animal welfare advocates and AI…
Trump takes another shot at dismantling state AI regulation
via The Verge AI [3] — The Trump administration on Friday unveiled its new legislative blueprint for AI regulation, and the seven-point plan includes a clear message: The federal government should avoid many AI regulations beyond a set of child safety rules, and it should bar…
Mind-altering substances are (still) falling short in clinical trials
via MIT Technology Review [4] — This week I want to look at where we are with psychedelics, the mind-altering substances that have somehow made the leap from counterculture to major focus of clinical research. Compounds like psilocybin—which is found in magic mushrooms—are being…
How we monitor internal coding agents for misalignment
via OpenAI Blog [7] — How OpenAI uses chain-of-thought monitoring to study misalignment in internal coding agents—analyzing real-world deployments to detect risks and strengthen AI safety safeguards.
The future of code is exciting and terrifying
via The Verge AI [4] — Suddenly it seems like everyone's a coder. Or, at the very least, like they play one in the Claude Code app. But even for the seasoned pros, the act of software development is changing fast - many people are writing less code themselves and instead…
Grammarly says it will stop using AI to clone experts without permission
via The Verge AI [4] — Superhuman says it has disabled Grammarly's "expert review" AI feature that said its edit suggestions were "inspired by" real writers, including our editor-in-chief and other Verge staff members. "After careful consideration, we have decided to disable…
Canva’s new editing tool adds layers to AI-generated designs
via The Verge AI [4] — Canva introduced a new feature that separates flat image files and AI-generated visuals into layered, fully editable designs. The Magic Layers tool is launching in public beta today in the US, UK, Canada, and Australia, allowing design components like…
Meta acquires Moltbook, the Reddit-like network for AI agents
via The Verge AI [4] — Meta is acquiring Moltbook, a Reddit-like platform where AI agents can make and comment on posts, as first reported by Axios. In a statement to The Verge, Meta spokesperson Matthew Tye confirmed the Moltbook team will join Meta Superintelligence Labs as…
Employees across OpenAI and Google support Anthropic’s lawsuit against the Pentagon
via The Verge AI [4] — On Monday, Anthropic filed its lawsuit against the Department of Defense over being designated as a supply chain risk. Hours later, nearly 40 employees from OpenAI and Google - including Jeff Dean, Google's chief scientist and Gemini lead - filed an amicus…
Introducing GPT-5.4
via OpenAI Blog [5] — Introducing GPT-5.4, OpenAI’s most most capable and efficient frontier model for professional work, with state-of-the-art coding, computer use, tool search, and 1M-token context.
Reasoning models struggle to control their chains of thought, and that’s good
via OpenAI Blog [7] — OpenAI introduces CoT-Control and finds reasoning models struggle to control their chains of thought, reinforcing monitorability as an AI safety safeguard.
Anthropic upgrades Claude’s memory to attract AI switchers
via The Verge AI [2] — Anthropic is making it easier to switch to its Claude AI from other chatbots with an update that brings Claude's memory feature to users on the free plan, along with a new prompt and dedicated tool for importing data from other chatbots. These upgrades could allow users who have been using rivals li
OpenAI’s “compromise” with the Pentagon is what Anthropic feared
via MIT Technology Review [4] — On February 28, OpenAI announced it had reached a deal that will allow the US military to use its technologies in classified settings. CEO Sam Altman said the negotiations, which the company began pursuing only after the Pentagon’s public reprimand of Anthropic, were “definitely rushed.” In its anno
Live Doom Meter
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0% — We're fine
100% — GG
The Doom Meter is a composite score derived from prediction markets and feed sentiment, updated daily.
70%
Prediction Markets
Weighted average of Manifold Markets questions on AI catastrophe, AGI timelines, expert surveys, and key figures. Direct doom indicators weighted higher than indirect capability markers.
30%
Feed Sentiment
Percentage of recent headlines containing high-alarm keywords (existential risk, catastrophe, extinction). Higher alarm density = higher score.
This is not a scientific estimate of existential risk. It is an opinionated, transparent signal — a vibes-based thermometer for AI doom discourse.
P(Doom) Scoreboard
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