P(doom) is a Dumb Meme
Look, I'm as much of a Rationalist with a special interest in AI x-risk as anyone. But oh my god do I hate talking about "P(doom)". When it first started showing up in the wake of ChatGPT, I assumed that it was floating around variously adjacent circles of faux-intellectuals, but surely everyone in my circles could see how braindead it was... right?(This post was partially inspired by a recent conversation with Liron about Doom Debates.[1])I guess it's time for me to focus on a place where I'm s
By Max Harms