Superintelligence this Christmas
Key takeaway
I think it is plausible a strong form of recursive self-improvement[1] is imminent or already underway, and that we may be on track for superintelligence by Christmas of this year if racing continues.This is substantially faster than any forecast, including…
Why it's on PDOOM
PDOOM selected this story for its capabilities signals: Superintelligence, Scaling, Forecast.
SuperintelligenceScalingForecastFrom LessWrong AI
I think it is plausible a strong form of recursive self-improvement[1] is imminent or already underway, and that we may be on track for superintelligence by Christmas of this year if racing continues.This is substantially faster than any forecast, including ones like AI 2027 that were considered outrageously fast a year ago. It is faster than I myself expected even a week ago. I don't work at a scaling lab. I don't know more than is public knowledge. Let me be perfectly clear: what I am saying i
By Alexander Gietelink Oldenziel