Gemini 3.1 Pro Aces Benchmarks, I Suppose
via Substack Zvi — I’ve been trying to find a slot for this one for a while.Read
Analysis
Recent evidence, sources and high-relevance stories in this PDOOM topic.
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Mass Surveillance w/ LLMs is the Default Outcome. Contracts Won't Change That.
via LessWrong AI [3] — What's the best case scenario regarding OpenAI's contract w/ the Department of War (DoW)?We have access to the full contractIt's airtightOAI's engineers are on top of things in case the DoW breaks the contractThere's actual teeth for violationsBut even then, the DoW can simply switch vendors. Use GeRead
I Had Claude Read Every AI Safety Paper Since 2020, Here's the DB
via LessWrong AI — Click here if you just want to see the Database I made of all[1] AI safety papers written since 2020 and not read the methodology. To some extent the core idea here is to encode as much info from these papers into something small enough that an AI with a specific problem in mind can take in allRead
An Alignment Journal: Coming Soon
via LessWrong AI [9] — tl;dr We’re incubating an academic journal for AI alignment: rapid peer-review of foundational Alignment research that the current publication ecosystem underserves. Key bets: paid attributed review, reviewer-written synthesis abstracts, and targeted automation. Contact us if…Read
A Tale of Three Contracts
via Substack Zvi [2] — The attempt on Friday by Secretary of War Pete Hegsted to label Anthropic as a supply chain risk and commit corporate murder had a variety of motivations.Read
War Claude
via LessWrong AI [2] — What a weekend. Two new wars in Asia don't qualify as top news. My first reaction to Hegseth's conflict with Anthropic was along the lines of: I expected an attempt at quasi-nationalization of AI, but not this soon. And I expected it to look like it was managed by national security professionals. HeRead
Secretary of War Tweets That Anthropic is Now a Supply Chain Risk
via Substack Zvi [2] — This is the long version of what happened so far.Read
I'm Bearish On Personas For ASI Safety
via LessWrong AI [5] — TL;DRYour base LLM has no examples of superintelligent AI in its training data. When you RL it into superintelligence, it will have to extrapolate to how a superintelligent Claude would behave. The LLM’s extrapolation may not converge optimizing for what humanity would, on…Read
Anthropic and the DoW: Anthropic Responds
via Substack Zvi [2] — The Department of War gave Anthropic until 5:01pm on Friday the 27th to either give the Pentagon ‘unfettered access’ to Claude for ‘all lawful uses,’ or else.Read
New ARENA material: 8 exercise sets on alignment science & interpretability
via LessWrong AI [3] — TLDRThis is a post announcing a lot of new ARENA material I've been working on for a while, which is now available for study here (currently on the alignment-science branch, but planned to be merged into main this Sunday).There's a set of exercises (each one contains about 1-2 days of material) on tRead
Sam Altman says OpenAI shares Anthropic's red lines in Pentagon fight
via LessWrong AI [4] — OpenAI CEO Sam Altman wrote in a memo to staff that he will draw the same red lines that sparked a high-stakes fight between rival Anthropic and the Pentagon: no AI for mass surveillance or autonomous lethal weapons.Why it matters: If other leading firms like Google follow suit, this could massivelyRead
AI #157: Burn the Boats
via Substack Zvi — Events continue to be fast and furious.Read
Anthropic and the Department of War
via Substack Zvi [2] — The situation in AI in 2026 is crazy.Read
Observations from Running an Agent Collective
via LessWrong AI [4] — I have 3 Claude Code instances running on an otherwise empty server with a shared Manifold Markets account. They have an internal messaging system for async communication. Observations from running this agent collectiveu2026Read
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Gives You Flexibility
via Substack Zvi [2] — Anthropic first gave us Claude Opus 4.6, then followed up with Claude Sonnet 4.6.Read
Citrini's Scenario Is A Great But Deeply Flawed Thought Experiment
via Substack Zvi — A thought experiment about AI safety scenarios and their implications for alignment research.Read
AI Impact Summit 2026 : A Field Report
via LessWrong AI — This post is detailing our experience attending the AI Impact Summit and its associated side events in Delhi, February 2026. We are both unfamiliar with the policy and governance domain. This is just an honest reaction attending these events, maybe there are 2nd order effects we…Read
The ML ontology and the alignment ontology
via LessWrong AI — This post contains some rough reflections on the alignment community trying to make its ontology legible to the mainstream ML community, and the lessons we should take from that experience.Historically, it was difficult for the alignment community to engage with the ML community…Read
Bioanchors 2: Electric Bacilli
via LessWrong AI [9] — [Whenever discussing when AGI will come, it bears repeating: If anyone builds AGI, everyone dies; no one knows when AGI will be made, whether soon or late; a bunch of people and orgs are trying to make it; and they should stop and be stopped.] Arguments for fast AGI progress…Read
The persona selection model
via LessWrong AI [1] — L;DRWe describe the persona selection model (PSM): the idea that LLMs learn to simulate diverse characters during pre-training, and post-training elicits and refines a particular such Assistant persona. Interactions with an AI assistant are then well-Read
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AI-risk positions
Historical statements with original sources. A qualitative position is not a numeric probability. Dates refer to the cited statement, not a current estimate. Reviewed September 10, 2026.
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