Industry
OpenAI’s “compromise” with the Pentagon is what Anthropic feared
via MIT Technology Review [4] — On February 28, OpenAI announced it had reached a deal that will allow the US military to use its technologies in classified settings. CEO Sam Altman said the negotiations, which the company began pursuing only after the Pentagon’s public reprimand of Anthropic, were “definitely rushed.” In its anno
How OpenAI caved to the Pentagon on AI surveillance
via The Verge AI [4] — On Friday evening, amidst fallout from a standoff between the Department of Defense and Anthropic, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman announced that his own company had successfully negotiated new terms with the Pentagon. The US government had just moved to blacklist Anthropic for standing firm on two red lines
I checked out one of the biggest anti-AI protests ever
via MIT Technology Review [4] — Pull the plug! Pull the plug! Stop the slop! Stop the slop! For a few hours this Saturday, February 28, I watched as a couple hundred anti-AI protesters marched through London’s King’s Cross tech hub, home to the UK headquarters of OpenAI, Meta and Google DeepMind, chanting slogans and waving signs.
Amazon’s AGI lab leader is leaving
via The Verge AI [4] — After less than two years at Amazon, David Luan, the head of Amazon's San Francisco AI lab, is departing the company. Luan announced the update in a post on LinkedIn on Tuesday, saying, "I'll be leaving Amazon at the end of this week to cook up something new." He added that, "There's incredible work
Inside Anthropic’s existential negotiations with the Pentagon
via The Verge AI [2] — Anthropic's weekslong battle with the Department of Defense has played out over social media posts, admonishing public statements, and direct quotes from unnamed Pentagon officials to the news media. But the future of the $380 billion AI startup comes down to just three words: "any lawful use." The
Measles cases are rising. Other vaccine-preventable infections could be next.
via MIT Technology Review — There’s a measles outbreak happening close to where I live. Since the start of this year, 34 cases have been confirmed in Enfield, a northern borough of London. Most of those affected are children under the age of 11. One in five have needed hospital treatment. It’s another worrying development for
Live Doom Meter
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0% — We're fine
100% — GG
The Doom Meter is a composite score derived from prediction markets and feed sentiment, updated daily.
70%
Prediction Markets
Weighted average of Manifold Markets questions on AI catastrophe, AGI timelines, expert surveys, and key figures. Direct doom indicators weighted higher than indirect capability markers.
30%
Feed Sentiment
Percentage of recent headlines containing high-alarm keywords (existential risk, catastrophe, extinction). Higher alarm density = higher score.
This is not a scientific estimate of existential risk. It is an opinionated, transparent signal — a vibes-based thermometer for AI doom discourse.
P(Doom) Scoreboard
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