Timeline
EU AI Act Enters Into Force
via PDOOM100 Editorial [8] — World first comprehensive AI regulation takes effect, classifying AI systems by risk level.
International AI Safety Report Published
via PDOOM100 Editorial [14] — First international scientific assessment of AI risks flags potential catastrophic outcomes.
Bletchley Park AI Safety Summit
via PDOOM100 Editorial [15] — 28 countries sign declaration acknowledging AI existential risks at historic summit.
Biden Executive Order on AI Safety
via PDOOM100 Editorial [10] — Executive Order 14110 establishes federal AI safety standards and red-team testing requirements.
Senate AI Insight Forums Begin
via PDOOM100 Editorial [5] — Bipartisan Senate forums convene tech leaders and researchers to shape US AI policy.
Live Doom Meter
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%
0% — We're fine
100% — GG
The Doom Meter is a composite score derived from prediction markets and feed sentiment, updated daily.
70%
Prediction Markets
Weighted average of Manifold Markets questions on AI catastrophe, AGI timelines, expert surveys, and key figures. Direct doom indicators weighted higher than indirect capability markers.
30%
Feed Sentiment
Percentage of recent headlines containing high-alarm keywords (existential risk, catastrophe, extinction). Higher alarm density = higher score.
This is not a scientific estimate of existential risk. It is an opinionated, transparent signal — a vibes-based thermometer for AI doom discourse.
P(Doom) Scoreboard
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