When capabilities work is the *safe* bet
If you believe that LLMs lend themselves unusually well to alignment compared to other regimes, this can be a very good reason to start doing capability research on them rather than LLM safety research. Imagine you have these beliefs about how AI goes:By I mean the probability that the first ASI is LLM-based (and that it isn't) - the two are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%.Let's imagine you are a super genius, and your effort alone makes something 10% more/less likely than currently. ThenThis
By RobinHa