Childhood And Education #17: Is Our Children Reading
via Substack Zvi [999] — Reading is the most fundamental thing in education.Read
Analysis
Recent evidence, sources and high-relevance stories in this PDOOM topic.
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Why You Can't Use Your Right to Try
via LessWrong AI [4] — The Availability Problem:Imagine you have cancer, or chronic pain, or a progressive degenerative disease of some sort. You have exhausted the traditional treatment options available to you, and none of them have worked. However, there are treatments that…Read
Is ProgramBench Impossible?
via LessWrong AI [3] — ProgramBench is a new coding benchmark that all frontier models spectacularly fail. We’ve been on a quest for “hard benchmarks” for a while so it’s refreshing to see a benchmark where top models do badly. Unfortunately, ProgramBench has one big problem:…Read
Claude Code, Codex and Agentic Coding #8
via Substack Zvi [999] — When I started this series, everyone was going crazy for coding agents.Read
The AI industry is where banking was in 2006. (We're hiring)
via LessWrong AI [8] — TL;DR; CeSIA, the French Center for AI Safety is recruiting. French not necessary. Apply by 22 May 2026; Paris or remote in Europe/UK.On August 27, 2005, at an annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Raghuram Rajan, then chief economist of the International…Read
AI #167: The Prior Restraint Era Begins
via Substack Zvi [999] — The era of training frontier models and then releasing them whenever you wanted?Read
Many individual CEVs are probably quite bad
via LessWrong AI [4] — I was thinking about Habryka's article on Putin's CEV, but I am posting my response here, because the original article is already 3 weeks old.I am not sure how exactly a person's CEV is defined. "If we knew everything and could self-modify" seems…Read
x-risk-themed
via LessWrong AI [5] — Sometimes, a friend who works around here, at an x-risk-themed organisation, will think about leaving their job. They’ll ask a group of people “what should I do instead?”. And everyone will chime in with ideas for other x-risk-themed orgs that they could…Read
What if LLMs are mostly crystallized intelligence?
via LessWrong AI [5] — SummaryLLMs are better at developing crystallized intelligence than fluid intelligence. That is: LLM training is good at building crystallized intelligence by learning patterns from training data, and this is sufficient to make them surprisingly skillful…Read
What is Anthropic?
via Substack Zvi [999] — What is Anthropic?Read
The AI Ad-Hoc Prior Restraint Era Begins
via Substack Zvi [999] — The White House has ordered Anthropic not to expand access to Mythos, and is at least seriously considering a complete about-face of American Frontier AI policy into a full prior restraint regime, where anyone wishing to release a highly capable new…Read
Housing Roundup #15: The War Against Renters
via Substack Zvi [999] — So many are under the strange belief that there is something terrible about not owning the house in which you live.Read
AI Industrial Takeoff — Part 1: Maximum growth rates with current technology
via LessWrong AI [4] — How fast could an AI-driven economy grow? Most economists expect a few percentage points at best, comparable to previous general-purpose technologies (Acemoglu (2024)). Those closer to AI development tend to imagine something much more radical (Shulman…Read
OpenAI's red line for AI self-improvement is fundamentally flawed
via LessWrong AI [4] — TL;DR. OpenAI's "Critical" threshold for AI self-improvement in the Preparedness Framework v2 has three structural problems:It fires too late. The lagging indicator, 5× generational acceleration sustained for several months, lets ~3 years of effective…Read
Housing Roundup #14: You Can't Build That
via Substack Zvi [999] — Why can’t you build it?Read
AI unemployment and AI extinction are often the same
via LessWrong AI [10] — My sense is that people think of AI existential risk and AI unemployment as distinct issues. Some people are extremely concerned about extinction and perhaps even indifferent to total unemployment. Some people think of moderate AI unemployment as a…Read
AI risk was not invented by AI CEOs to hype their companies
via LessWrong AI [9] — I hear that many people believe that the idea of advanced AI threatening human existence was invented by AI CEOs to hype their products. I’ve even been condescendingly informed of this, as if I am the one at risk of naively accepting AI companies’…Read
AI #166: Google Sells Out
via Substack Zvi [999] — This was the week of GPT-5.5.Read
No Strong Orthogonality From Selection Pressure
via LessWrong AI [4] — A postratfic version of this essay, together with the acknowledgements for both, is available on SubstackEdit: if no one thinks an agent can become superintelligent and contest the lightcone while maintaining arbitrarily stupid goals, thats great! I’m only…Read
The Most Important Charts In The World
via Substack Zvi [999] — We all need a break so: What is the most important chart in the world?Read
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AI-risk positions
Historical statements with original sources. A qualitative position is not a numeric probability. Dates refer to the cited statement, not a current estimate. Reviewed September 10, 2026.
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